Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.183568 0.211823 0.244422 0.285150 0.335145 0.395135 0.473517
2025-03-09 0.137537 0.172208 0.216852 0.279910 0.368990 0.494104 0.690437
2025-03-16 0.110256 0.146101 0.196003 0.273246 0.395124 0.590435 0.952177
2025-03-23 0.096029 0.133251 0.188534 0.281117 0.442480 0.735575 1.378613
2025-03-30 0.082984 0.119112 0.175422 0.275608 0.464649 0.845997 1.820011
2025-04-06 0.074847 0.110777 0.169312 0.279570 0.504320 1.008753 2.528937
2025-04-13 0.067193 0.101893 0.160461 0.276050 0.527524 1.147433 3.330398
2025-04-20 0.062160 0.096530 0.156613 0.280917 0.570283 1.359764 4.691026
2025-04-27 0.058259 0.092510 0.154402 0.288411 0.622018 1.632984 6.858791
2025-05-04 0.054743 0.088676 0.151860 0.294511 0.672897 1.944802 10.128135
2025-05-11 0.051862 0.085615 0.150290 0.302391 0.732295 2.342790 15.680000
2025-05-18 0.048886 0.082016 0.147083 0.305663 0.780126 2.747274 23.933418
2025-05-25 0.045995 0.078336 0.143341 0.307248 0.825634 3.208457 37.841326
2025-06-01 0.043149 0.074463 0.138702 0.305669 0.861187 3.678128 60.252943
2025-06-08 0.040270 0.070245 0.132774 0.299444 0.878258 4.077732 92.823641
2025-06-15 0.038765 0.068642 0.132442 0.308704 0.960154 5.065122 209.122653
2025-06-22 0.036409 0.065067 0.127161 0.302601 0.977390 5.619243 377.515795
2025-06-29 0.034918 0.063161 0.125535 0.307110 1.044294 6.786080 1092.817849
2025-07-06 0.033077 0.060351 0.121427 0.303145 1.071256 7.662538 3113.288882
2025-07-13 0.031899 0.058864 0.120349 0.308646 1.149047 9.419903 31688.639671
2025-07-20 0.030950 0.057791 0.120162 0.317119 1.249654 11.998136 NaN
2025-07-27 0.029986 0.056598 0.119529 0.324022 1.348482 15.220056 NaN
2025-08-03 0.029167 0.055662 0.119444 0.332947 1.468634 19.937667 NaN